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One week after the Rams covered in Lorenzo's Week 16 Locks, he's locking in the Rams again at -3.5 to get the job done in Baltimore. The Ravens are in all sorts of trouble on offense, and their defense is decimated with injuries. Baltimore ranks last in passing yards per play and per game. On the other side, Matthew Stafford and the Rams have been rolling on offense. Odell Beckham Jr. and Cooper Kupp should have a field day on Sunday. Lorenzo's sees a win and a cover for Los Angeles. The Houston Texans have shown improvements late in the season. Last week, an upset win against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Texans have won two in a row and covered the spread in both games. Davis Mills has shown he can manage games without mistakes. Lorenzo sees the 49ers getting passed the Texans, but not against the spread. Lorenzo is locking in Houston covering the spread. Kansas City at home is lethal and their defense is hot. The last five opponents at Arrowhead Stadium have scored ten points or fewer in each game. Kansas City has hit the over in four out of six road games this season, including the last two. The Bengals enter Sunday ready to continue their hot play, after coming off a blowout win against Baltimore. Joe Burrow and company has this offense running. Lorenzo sees a high scoring game and is locking in the OVER.
Week 17 action is here featuring the defending Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay Buccaneers taking on the New York Jets at Metlife Stadium. This season, the Buccaneers have been an excellent team to bet the moneyline, while the Jets have been bad against the spread and on the field. The Jets are starting to show signs of hope. New York Jets beat reporter Andy Vasquez reports the Jets are trying to keep the good vibes going at Metlife Stadium and will need to run the ball well in order to be successful against Tampa Bay. Zach Wilson showed off his running skills last week, with 91 yards on the ground. Jets rookie running-back Michael Carter had his first 100 yard rushing game of his career, and as a team, they ran for 273 yards. Will this be Tom Brady's last appearance at Metlife Stadium? Brady goes up against the Jets secondary, which is the most inexperienced in the league and has been decimated by injuries this season. Tom Brady will look to pick the secondary apart, especially with Antonio Brown back in the lineup. This week, Antonio Brown is the X-Factor. Expect Brown to dominate with wide-receivers Chris Godwin and Mike Evans on the sidelines due to injury. Fun fact: Tom Brady is 29-7 against the Jets in his career and looks to make it an even 30. Tampa Bay is favored by 13.5 heading into Sunday.
First, one of Lorenzo's favorite, the Los Angeles Rams. Reason being, they already went through their covid outbreak and theoretically, should have a safe lineup to play for a few weeks, if not months. They face an unreliable Vikings team, that left too many points on the board last week. Cooper Kupp and the Rams are lock on the road comfortably. A team that badly needs a victory in the AFC North, the Baltimore Ravens. Looking to snap their three game losing streak with some questionable coaching decisions, the Ravens have some momentum going into Sunday. Backup quarterback, Tyler Huntley went head to head with Aaron Rodgers in Week 15 and was a failed two point conversion away from the upset. They've lost the last three games by a total of four points and Lorenzo is locking in the Ravens for the bounce back win against Cincinnati. The Colts are turning into one of the strongest teams in the entire league. As long as Jonathan Taylor stays healthy and Carson Wentz keeps the games balanced, this offense will be hard to stop. A key to victory Sunday, will be to keep the ball out of Kyler Murray's hands. The Cardinals have not performed well in recent trips to the Red Zone, converting in only four of 12 tries. Lorenzo is locking in the Colts for the victory.
Week 16 action features a battle for first place in the AFC East. Will the Patriots win the season series or will the Bills split the series? Their first matchup was a messy weather game filled with the ground attack. Now, the Bills look take the division lead with a win in New England. Bills beat reporter Sal Maiorana reports that the Buffalo Bills may have the advantage coming into Sunday's matchup. Buffalo took care of business in their Week 15 win against the Carolina Panthers. The Bills will have the opportunity to regain control of the AFC East with a win verse New England. Buffalo trails one game behind for first place. Should the Bills come out victorious on Sunday, their chances of winning the division increase tremendously. Buffalo has two home games remaining against the Jets and Falcons, with hopes to win both. Everything is on the line in this Week 16 division rivalry game. Buffalo's offense seems to be coming back to life and will look to run the ball against New England's defense. Bill Belichick will not go down without a fight, as the Bills needs to find a way to be balanced and not put all the pressure on Josh Allen. Sal Maiorana expects a low scoring game, and Josh Allen is the X-Factor in this one. New England is favored by 2.5 entering Week 16.
Saturday Football is back and New England is on fire. The Patriots have won seven straight games. Their biggest challenge in this week's matchup will be slowing down star runningback Jonathan Taylor. With the AFC playoff picture narrowing in, Lorenzo sees Bill Belichick entering gameday with a plan to shut down Indianapolis. Both teams are coming off their bye weeks and Lorenzo is locking in the Patriots +2.5. The Green Bay Packers are the best team in the league against the spreading, holding an 11-2 record this season. Their defense is getting stronger, with Jaire Alexander making his way back from injury. Baltimore, on the other hand, are on a two game losing losing streak along with Lamar Jackson having an injured ankle. He will be a game-time decision on Sunday. Baltimore is running out of gas with all of their injuries and Lorenzo is locking in the Packers -5.5. Looking to bounce back from their Monday Night home loss, the Arizona Cardinals have one of the best offenses in the league. Arizona has a 7-0 record against the spread on the road and the Lions cant be trusted, although they have been showing improvements. Lorenzo sees Arizona jumping out to big lead early, and holding it throughout the game and is locking in Arizona -11.5.
Week 15 action features two teams coming off their bye weeks, fully rested, and ready to rumble. The Patriots face off against the Colts in Indianapolis. New England has been a very strong team to bet on this season and the Colts have been very solid against the spread. Patriots beat writer Mark Daniels reports both teams have similar goals headed into Saturday. The game plan will be to stop the run game and make the quarterbacks throw the ball. New England has a tough task on their hands, and will try to slow down the NFL's leading rusher Jonathan Taylor. The Colts seek to force the ball into Mac Jones' hand and make the rookie quarterback win New England the game with his arm. Patriots leading rusher Damian Harris will be limited this week, after suffering a hamstring injury against Buffalo. Rookie Rhamondre Stevenson will have the spotlight to shine and give the Patriots a lift. Jonathan Taylor looks to be the X-Factor in this AFC matchup. Taylor leads the league in rushing touchdowns and rushing yards, meanwhile Bill Belichick shines in shutting down his opponents best player. Colts enter Week 15 favored by 2.5.
The playoffs are approaching and this mid-season division matchup has all the playoff feels. The Dallas Cowboys take on the Washington Football Team in D.C. This season, the Cowboys are great against the spread and on the moneyline. Cowboys beat reporter Jori Epstein breaks down what the Cowboys need to do, in order to secure their lead in the NFC East. Will the Cowboys get their running game going? The offense needs more continuity by balancing the pass and the run. To date, the Cowboys have banked on Dak Prescott and his receivers to score points. With Washington's third ranked rushing defense in the league, the Cowboys running game will be put to the test. As for Ezekiel Elliot, the stiffness in his knees are starting to decrease and his strength is coming back. If the run game executes during this matchup, the Cowboys will be in good shape for a victory. Dak Prescott looks to be the X-factor on Sunday. His play has cooled down after a hot start and has slipped down the rankings as MVP candidate. With CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, Tony Pollard, and Ezekiel Elliot, Washington's defense will have their hands full. Dallas enters Week 14 as 4.5 point favorite.
The Dallas Cowboys hit the road to take on division rival Washington Football Team. Road games have been in Dallas's favor in recently play, holding 5-1 record against the spread in their last six away games. Star defensive end Randy Gregory makes his way back to the starting lineup for the Cowboys. While Washington has won four straight games, their 1-3 record against the spread in their last four NFC East games give the Cowboys the edge in this matchup. Lorenzo is locking in the Cowboys -3.5. Moving on from one NFC power team to the next, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady has a 32-3 record against the Buffalo Bills, the most victories in NFL history against a single opponent. Buffalo has real concerns on offense with their lack of balance and struggles in the red-zone. Tampa Bay has won eight straight home homes and looks to continue the streak to nine games. Lorenzo is locking in the Buccaneers -3.5. Switchings things up this week, Lorenzo takes a look at the Over/Under matchup between the Broncos and Lions. With Denver ranked 23rd in scoring offense and Detroit ranked 29th in scoring offense, Lorenzo sees this as a low scoring game. The Under has hit in all but two of Denver's games this season including the last six in a row. Meanwhile the Under has hit in Detroit's last eight of last ten matchups. In Mile High Stadium where points are harder to come by, Lorenzo is locking in the Under 42.5.
The NFL's hottest team in the league, the New England Patriots, travel to Buffalo for a division matchup and battle for first place in the AFC East. Playing smart and mistake free, New England has won six in a row and covered the spread in every game during the streak. The Patriots look to continue their road dominance, as they have won five road games this season. Lorenzo believes the Patriots defense will make it a long day for Josh Allen and the Bills, and is locking in the Patriots +2.5. Another hot AFC East team, the Miami Dolphins have won four straight games. Tua Tagovailoa has gotten the ball out quickly and Jaden Waddle broke out in Week 12 as a result. Miami is a great under the radar home field advantage team in the NFL. While the Giants have shown improvement, the Dolphins are 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 home games. Lorenzo is locking in Miami -3.5. The San Francisco 49ers have won four of their last five games. Meanwhile, Seattle has gone the opposite direction, and have dropped five of their last six. Although the Seahawks have recently dominated the head to head matchups, Seattle's offense is in shambles. Lorenzo is locking in the 49ers -3.5 as road favorites.
The Chargers travel to Cincinnati to take on the red-hot Bengals. A high scoring game is expecting, as two of the games youngest quarterbacks, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert, go head to head. The Bengals are 6-5 against the spread this season, while the Chargers are 5-6 against the spread. Los Angeles jumped out to a 4-1 record, but have cooled down since, and now sit one game back in the AFC West, with a 6-5 record. Bengals reporter Kelsey Conway highlights the explosive wide receivers for both teams, but expects the game to be decided by the ground attack. Joe Mixon is coming off back to back 100+ rushing yard games for the Bengals and the Chargers have one of the worst rush defenses in the league. Joe Mixon is the X-Factor in this matchup and looks to have a field day against Los Angeles. Mixon's big day will open up the passing game for the other Joe, Joe Burrow. Cincinnati enters Sunday as a 3.5 point favorite.
The Dolphins ride a three game winning streak heading into Sunday's matchup against the Panthers. With wins against the Jets and Texans in that span, Lorenzo sees Miami as overvalued. Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey matchup well against Miami's linebackers. Lorenzo is locking in the Panthers against the spread. Fly Eagles Fly! The Eagles have found their rhythm and Jalen Hurts has been hard to tackle in and out of the pocket. Philadelphia is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven and 8-1 in their last nine games against New York. The Giants have shown they are not as strong as the Eagles and Lorenzo is taking the Eagles against the spread. The Steelers defense is coming back to full strength as key members to the defense return to the field. Pittsburgh is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games and Cincinnati is 1-4 against the spread in their last five at home. Lorenzo is locking in the Steelers for the upset and covering the spread.
The Packers are 9-0 against the spread and 8-1 over their last nine games. Meanwhile the Vikings offense has been very unstable, recording a 5-11 record against the spread in their last 16 games and 1-7 against the spread at home in their last eight home games. Aaron Rodgers looks to continue his dominance. Lorenzo is locking in Green Bay -2.5. Washington Head Coach Ron Rivers faces his former team, the Carolina Panthers. Lorenzo sees Carolina as overvalued in this matchup. Washington heads to Carolina coming off a huge upset against Tampa Bay. Even with some holes in their defense due to injury, Lorenzo sees Washington slowing down Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey. Look out for an upset here, as Lorenzo locks in Washington +3.5. The Colts have steadily improved over the course of the season. The Bills look to have found their rhythm, but are coming off a win against a poor Jets defense. The Colts are 3-0 against the spread in their last three road games and underdogs. Lorenzo likes the Bills to win and Colts to cover at +3.5.