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Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons Preview

Spread, Betting Line and Week 17 Odds
Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons Preview

NCAAF Predictions breaks down each NCAAF matchup of the season, sharing betting information and statistics that helps you get into the game.

In the Armed Forces Bowl, the Baylor Bears will face off against the Air Force Falcons. The Bears are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 43.5.

The Bears are the favorite (-3.5) over the Falcons. The total is set at 43.5 points.

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Odds and Game Info

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
  • Spread Favorite: Baylor (-3.5)
  • Moneyline: Baylor (-171), Air Force (+142)
  • Total: 43.5 Points

Baylor Betting Info

  • Baylor has seven wins in 12 games against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread as 3.5-point or better favorites, Baylor is 3-0.
  • This season, eight of Baylor's 12 games have go over the point total.
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Bears are 2-3, picking up a win 40% of the time.
  • The Bears have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -171 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Air Force Betting Info

  • Air Force has six wins in 12 contests against the spread this year.
  • Of 12 Air Force games so far this year, five have gone over the total.
  • This is the first time the Falcons will play as underdogs this season.
  • The Falcons have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +142.

Baylor vs. Air Force Comparison

Compare 2022 season stats for Bears and Falcons
Bears Stats Falcons
235.1 Pass yards 67.8
232.8 Pass yards against 155
194.1 Rush yards 331.5
137.6 Rush yards against 99.8
+2 Turnover differential +2

Baylor Leaders

  • Blake Shapen has 2,602 pass yards for Baylor, completing 64.3% of his passes and recording 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season.
  • Richard Reese has 962 rushing yards on 190 carries with 14 touchdowns.
  • Craig Williams has been handed the ball 94 times this year and racked up 532 yards (44.3 per game) with four touchdowns.
  • Monaray Baldwin's leads his squad with 565 yards as a receiver. He's racked up that yardage on 33 receptions (out of 53 targets) and scored four touchdowns.
  • Gavin Holmes has caught 23 passes for 474 yards (39.5 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
  • Hal Presley has compiled 31 grabs for 374 yards, an average of 31.2 yards per game. He's scored three times as a receiver this season.
  • Garmon Randolph has 4.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has five TFL and 33 tackles.
  • Dillon Doyle, Baylor's leading tackler, has 72 tackles and two interceptions this year.
  • Christian Morgan leads the team with three interceptions, while also recording 38 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.

Air Force Leaders

  • Haaziq Daniels has racked up 733 yards on 47.4% passing while tossing six touchdown passes with two interceptions this season. He's also run for 614 yards with seven scores.
  • Brad Roberts has run the ball 308 times for 1,612 yards, with 15 touchdowns.
  • John Lee Eldridge III has run for 701 yards across 89 carries, scoring four touchdowns.
  • David Cormier leads his team with 384 receiving yards on 13 receptions with four touchdowns.
  • Amari Terry has racked up 119 receiving yards (9.9 yards per game) and one touchdown on six receptions.
  • Dane Kinamon has racked up 88 reciving yards (7.3 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
  • Vince Sanford has 5.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has six TFL and 35 tackles.
  • TD Blackmon, Air Force's tackle leader, has 48 tackles, seven TFL, and three sacks this year.
  • Camby Goff has picked off a team-leading three passes. He also has 31 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended to his name.

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Baylor vs. Air Force Over/Under Trends

  • Baylor's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 43.5 points 11 times.
  • Air Force and its opponents have combined to score more than 43.5 points in five of 12 games this season.
  • Baylor's contests this year have an average total of 54.6, 11.1 more points than this game's over/under.
  • Air Force's games this year have had a 45.2-point total on average, 1.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

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