Betting Previews

Duke Blue Devils vs. UCF Knights Preview

Spread, Betting Line and Week 18 Odds
Duke Blue Devils vs. UCF Knights Preview

NCAAF Predictions breaks down each NCAAF matchup of the season, sharing betting information and statistics that helps you get into the game.

The Duke Blue Devils and UCF Knights will play in the Military Bowl. The Blue Devils are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is 62.5.

The Knights are 3.5-point underdogs in their matchup with the Blue Devils (the game has an over/under of 62.5 points).

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Odds and Game Info

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Annapolis, Maryland
  • Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
  • Spread Favorite: Duke (-3.5)
  • Moneyline: Duke (-163), UCF (+138)
  • Total: 62.5 Points

Duke Betting Info

  • Duke has eight wins in 12 games against the spread this year.
  • As at least a 3.5-point favorite, Duke has two wins ATS (2-3).
  • This season, five of Duke's 12 games have hit the over.
  • The Blue Devils have won 80% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (4-1).
  • The Blue Devils have gone 2-1 (winning 75% of their games) when they have played with moneyline odds of -163 or shorter.

UCF Betting Info

  • UCF's record against the spread in 2022 is 7-6-0.
  • UCF has no wins ATS (0-1) as a 3.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • UCF has played 13 games this season, and six of them have gone over the total.
  • The Knights have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • The Knights have played as an underdog of +138 or more once this season and lost that game.

Duke vs. UCF Comparison

Compare 2022 season stats for Blue Devils and Knights
Blue Devils Stats Knights
236.4 Pass yards 244.5
262.3 Pass yards against 225.6
184.8 Rush yards 235.7
120.3 Rush yards against 157.3
+14 Turnover differential -2

Duke Leaders

  • Riley Leonard has thrown for 2,794 yards, completing 63.6% of his passes and recording 20 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He's also run for 635 yards (52.9 ypg) on 114 carries with 11 rushing touchdowns.
  • This season, Jordan Waters has carried the ball 120 times for 561 yards (46.8 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • Jalon Calhoun's 811 yards as a receiver pace the team. He's been targeted 85 times and has registered 56 catches and four touchdowns.
  • Jordan Moore has put together a 643-yard season so far with five touchdowns, hauling in 57 passes on 83 targets.
  • Sahmir Hagans has compiled 27 catches for 368 yards, an average of 30.7 yards per game. He's scored five times as a receiver this season.
  • Brandon Johnson leads the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has five TFL, 31 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Shaka Heyward is the team's tackle leader this year. He's picked up 66 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions.
  • Jaylen Stinson leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 40 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.

UCF Leaders

  • John Rhys Plumlee has been a dual threat for UCF this season. He has 2,404 passing yards (184.9 per game) while completing 63.1% of his passes. He's tossed 14 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. On the ground, he's compiled 827 yards (63.6 ypg) on 144 carries with 11 rushing touchdowns.
  • Isaiah Bowser has rushed for 769 yards on 195 carries with 14 touchdowns.
  • Javon Baker paces his team with 747 receiving yards on 54 catches with five touchdowns.
  • Ryan O'Keefe has racked up 725 receiving yards (55.8 yards per game) and five touchdowns on 73 receptions.
  • Kobe Hudson's 55 targets have resulted in 34 receptions for 578 yards and seven touchdowns.
  • Tre'mon Morris-Brash has six sacks to pace the team, and also has nine TFL and 51 tackles.
  • Jason Johnson is the team's leading tackler this year. He's picked up 108 tackles, two TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Divaad Wilson leads the team with three interceptions, while also recording 35 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended.

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Duke vs. UCF Over/Under Trends

  • Duke's games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 62.5 points five times.
  • UCF and its opponents have combined to score more than 62.5 points in six of 13 games this season.
  • Duke has had an average of 56.5 points in their games this season, six fewer than this matchup's total.
  • UCF's games this season have had an average of 58.5 points, four fewer points than this game's point total.

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