Betting Previews

Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka Match Preview

French Open Betting Odds
Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka Match Preview

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The French Open is winding down, as Karolina Muchova (No. 43) and Aryna Sabalenka (No. 2) will compete in the semifinals on Thursday, June 8.

Sabalenka is favored (-350) in this Semifinal match against Muchova (+250).

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Muchova vs. Sabalenka Match Info

  • Tournament: The French Open
  • Round: Semifinals
  • Date: Thursday, June 8
  • Venue: Stade Roland Garros
  • Location: Paris, France
  • Court Surface: Clay

Muchova vs. Sabalenka Betting Odds

Karolina Muchova Aryna Sabalenka
+250 Odds to Win Match -350
+1400 Odds to Win Tournament +240
28.6% Implied Prob. to Win Match 77.8%
6.7% Implied Prob. to Win Tournament 29.4%
41.5 Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match 58.5

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Muchova vs. Sabalenka Matchup Stats

  • Muchova hasn't won any of her seven tournaments this year, posting an overall 17-7 record.
  • Muchova has played 24 matches this year across all court surfaces, averaging 21.8 games per match and winning 57.3% of those games.
  • Including all surfaces, Muchova's service game winning percentage is 73.6% (winning 181 of 246 service games) and her return game winning percentage is 38.3% (earning a win in 95 of 248 return games).
  • Muchova has won 48.9% of her break points this year (89 out of 182, to rank 108th).
  • This year, Muchova has recorded 96 aces (4.0 per match) with 53 double faults (2.2 per match) across all court types.
  • Muchova's first-serve success percentage is 63.8%, while she is successful on 91.3% of second serves.
  • Sabalenka has captured two tournament victories on the year, with an overall record of 26-5.
  • Sabalenka has played 31 matches so far this year (winning 61.8% of games across all court surfaces), and 19.1 games per match.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages this year, Sabalenka has won 81.8% of her games on serve, and 40.8% on return.
  • Including all surfaces, Sabalenka has converted 117 of 259 break points (45.2%).
  • Sabalenka has 170 aces (5.5 per match) and 100 double faults (3.2 per match), and she is 86th in total aces.
  • Including all surfaces, Sabalenka has a 64.6% first-serve percentage and an 85.9% second-serve percentage.
Karolina Muchova Aryna Sabalenka
43 World Rank 2
17-7 2023 Match Record 26-5
38-16 2023 Set Record 51-16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia Last Tournament Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Round of 16 Last Result Round of 64

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Muchova vs. Sabalenka Head-to-Head History (Recent)

Date Tournament Round Result
October 26 2019 WTA Elite Trophy Singles Semifinal 7-5, 7-6

Muchova vs. Sabalenka Recent Form and Stats

  • In her last tournament (the Internazionali BNL d'Italia), Muchova played Paula Badosa in the round of 16 on May 16 and was defeated 4-6, 7-6, 2-6.
  • Muchova played four matches in Rome, with an average of 26.0 games per match.
  • Muchova claimed victory in 60.8% of her service games and 45.3% of her return games in that tournament.
  • Muchova won 22 of her 44 break points in Rome (50.0%).
  • In her most recent tournament, Muchova posted eight double faults and 13 aces.
  • Sabalenka was eliminated by Sofia Kenin (6-7, 2-6) on May 11 in the round of 64s of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia (her last tournament).
  • In her one match in Rome, Sabalenka averaged 21.0 games per match.
  • Sabalenka's service-game winning percentage was 54.5% in Italy, and she won 20.0% of her games on her opponent's serve.
  • While playing in Rome, Sabalenka converted 28.6% of her break points (two of seven).

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