Interested in NFL player prop bets? Here Are Some Week 2 Options

Are you looking to spread your betting wings beyond spreads, moneylines and over/under in Week 1? Tipico has tons of player props for your perusal. We've selected a few for you to check out, but there are hundreds of others on our menu.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Bengals' Ja'Marr Chase -110

The start Cincy WR was shut out in Week 1 against the Browns. He looks to find the end zone against the Ravens.

Passing Yards

Lions' Jared Goff Over 268.5 (-115), Under 268.5 (-115)

The Detroit QB threw for 253 yards and a TD to help beat the Chiefs on Thursday in Week 1. He looks to shred a Seattle defense that gave up 334 yards to Matthew Stafford last Sunday.

Passing Touchdowns

Bills' Josh Allen Over 1.5 (-160), Under 1.5 (+130)

After a three INT, lost fumble dud of a game against the Jets, the Buffalo big man won't flop against the Raiders, right?

CLICK TO CHECK OUT TIPICO'S PLAYER PROPS:

Rushing Yards

49ers' Christian McCaffrey Over 67.5 (-120), Under 67.5 (-110)

CMS ran for 152 yards against the Steelers in Week 1, and the Niners have beaten the Rams in eight straight regular-season games. Last year, in his second game with SF after the trade with Carolina, CMC rushed for 94 yards vs the Rams.

Receiving Yards

Dolphins' Tyreek Hill Over 83.5 (-125), Under 83.5 (-105)

Hill exploded for 215 yards in the narrow win over the Chargers in Week 1, but Patriots coach Bill Belichick is famous for limiting opposing teams' top weapons.

Check out Tipico's NFL player props here:

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THANKS TO THE 'FRIDGE'

In Super Bowl XX of ‘86, 350-pound defensive tackle William “Refrigerator” Perry rumbled into the endzone for a one-yard touchdown, capping a 46-10 rout of the New England Patriots.

Although this score had little impact on the game, it changed football gambling forever.

At the time, prop bets weren’t all that common. But, for Super Bowl XX, a few Las Vegas sportsbooks offered 40-1 odds on what they figured was a gimmick bet. But some risky gamblers took them up on it. And when the Fridge rumbled past the pylons, they won big.

Naturally, this generated a lot of buzz and publicity, and the public began asking for more long-odd chances to win big.

Now, as the NFL enters the 2023 season, prop bets are more popular than ever, especially for big games—they accounted for nearly half of the amount wagered on the Super Bowl for the last decade. And the options have only expanded with their popularity.

WHAT ARE PROP BETS?

Think Josh Jacobs will reclaim his NFL rushing title? Do the Chiefs repeat as Super Bowl champs? Who will win Rookie of the Year? Think Jalen Hurts throws for 250 yards and rushes for 100 yards in the same game? Will the Super Bowl’s National Anthem last longer than 1:50?

These are just a few of the types of prop bets that might be available throughout the 2023 season. Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, add an exciting twist to conventional bets.

Instead of wagering on the overall result of the game — such as spreads, moneylines, or over/unders (o/u)—prop bets provide the opportunity to bet on specific events or stats throughout the game.

Prop bets are the gambling convergence between stats nerds and sports fanatics. You’re not limited to mundane wagers on who will win or lose. With props, you can get into the nitty-gritty of the game, betting on player performance, team statistics, or game-specific predictions.

The level of granularity they offer enables you to bring your knowledge of teams and players directly into your betting strategy, offering an added layer of depth to your game-day enjoyment.

TYPES OF NFL PROP BETS

The possibilities with prop bets are vast and varied, although the specific bets available will depend on the game and bookie. Naturally, the higher the profile of the matchup, the more props will likely be made available.

That said, some of the more common types of NFL prop bets include:

Player prop bets – Focus on the in-game performance of an individual player’s statistics. For instance, you may place a prop bet that, in his first game against the Lions, Patrick Mahomes goes:

O/U 3.5 tds
O/U 350 yards
O/U 1 interception
O/U 30 completions

Team prop bets – Team props function similarly to player props, but they deal with the collective performance of the team, like the total number of sacks by the defense or the number of field goals the team kicks.

Game prop bets – Cover events within the game that might not directly relate to the final outcome. Types of bets may include which team will score first, whether a kick return or safety will be scored in the game, or the O/U on the number of turnovers.

Novelty prop bets – Also known as “exotic” props, these often focus on elements indirectly related to the game, such as the duration of the national anthem or the color of Gatorade dumped on the winning coach. Exotic props are typically limited to the playoffs and Super Bowl.

Timing prop bets – Timing prop bets are focused on when something will occur during a game. For example, betting on which quarter will have the highest score, or which player will be the first to score a touchdown.

Head-to-head prop bets – With head-to-heads, two players are pitted against one another by statistical performance, regardless of the game’s outcome. For example, you could bet on whether Patrick Mahomes or Jared Goff will throw for more yards on opening night. In a head-to-head prop bet, odds are given to both players—negative odds for the favorite and positive odds for the underdog. This odds structure is similar to a point spread in traditional betting, leveling the perceived playing field between the two competitors.

Parlay prop bets – If you want to amp up the risk/reward factor, you can combine several prop bets into a single parlay wager. This magnifies the potential payout; however, each leg of the parlay must hit to win. Make one wrong pick and the whole bet will be void.

HOW TO READ THE ODDS ON A PROP BET

Before you ever place a wager on a prop bet, you need to know how to read an in-person or online betting slip. These will often be packed with information that tells gamblers key details about the matchup and bet they’re considering, such as the:

Bet type
Selection
Odds
Stake
Payout
Rules and conditions

The vast majority of US sportsbooks present odds using the American format, which typically involve a plus (+) or minus (-) sign, and a base of $100.

Minus (-) – The minus sign indicates the favorite or the outcome deemed more likely to occur by the bookmaker. The number following the minus sign shows how much money you need to bet to win $100.

For instance, if the odds are -110, you would need to bet $110 to potentially win $100.

Plus (+) – The plus sign denotes the underdog or the less likely outcome to occur. The number after the plus sign indicates how much you could win from a $100 bet. If the odds are +200, a $100 bet would result in a $200 profit.

It's important to note that prop bets often carry higher odds and lower probabilities of occurring, hence a potentially significant payout.

For instance, let’s say there’s a prop bet for Travis Kelce scoring both a rushing and a receiving touchdown in the same game set at +2500. Such high odds indicate that this outcome is considered unlikely by the bookmaker. But if it were to happen, the payout would be substantial: a $100 wager would win $2500.

TIPS AND STRATEGIES FOR PROP BETS

As mentioned, props give opportunities to bettors who do their due diligence. Savvy researchers and stat hounds could identify trends and opportunities to win big. To that end, consider the following tips as you prepare for kickoff in September:

Analyze matchups – Focus on extreme matchups to exploit potential advantages between two teams. You can go even more granular, breaking down how they match up by scheme or even by player matchup. Look at efficiency metrics like EPA, explosive play rates, and success rates to assess matchup significance.

Comprehend frequency of bet outcomes – When reviewing prop bets, consider whether and how often a player has achieved that specific milestone. This provides some context about their chances of success.

Consider player usage – Dig into the data with player metrics, such as target share, snap count, snap share, and the average depth of target (ADOT) to gauge a player’s role and usage.

Capitalize on shifts – Throughout the season the situation and a player’s role or usage may change due to injuries, trades, or player breakouts, which may create opportunities for value in prop bets.

Maintain proper bankroll management – Always practice responsible bankroll management by setting a budget and bet unit, recording your wagers, and monitoring your W/L percentage to avoid excessive or emotionally driven bets.

Bet the under on season-long player props – Season-long unders have some of the best odds in all of NFL gambling, but especially so for props. According to Yahoo:2 “If you bet $100 on every under for every season long prop last season, you would have ended the year up $6800 while winning over 66.6% of your bets.”

Focus on player motivation – Consider the significance of the game or the player's personal motivation. Players may perform differently in high-stakes situations or when they have something to prove, they’re closer to a significant milestone or need to reach a certain threshold to satisfy a performance-based incentive in their contract.

Assess weather conditions – Weather can impact player performance, especially in outdoor stadiums. Consider how factors like wind, rain, or extreme temperatures may affect the outcome of a prop bet, such as the total number of field goals or yards thrown.

Monitor line movement – Pay attention to line movements and market trends, there may be opportunities to capitalize on odds before the lines move. Significant shifts in odds may indicate new information or betting activity that can further inform your own bets.

BET ON NFL PROPS USING TIPICO

Kickoff for the 2023 NFL season is nearly underway. Are you ready to start placing props?

Before you do, be sure to plan your bankroll and betting strategies. And, of course, you’ll need a reliable online bookie. If you live in Ohio, Colorado, New Jersey, and Iowa, Tipico offers a range of spreads, picks, player props, live bets, and more.

Want to win big? Sign up with Tipico today.

Photo Credit: IMAGO / Icon Sportswire