NCAAF Predictions breaks down each NCAAF matchup of the season, sharing betting information and statistics that helps you get into the game.
Betting Previews
The Toledo Rockets are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5), in their Boca Raton Bowl matchup against the Liberty Flames. The total for this one is set at 51.5 points.
The Rockets are the favorite (-3.5) against the Flames. The total is set at 51.5 points.
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Odds and Game Info
- Game Day: Tuesday, December 20, 2022
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Boca Raton, Florida
- Stadium: FAU Stadium
- Spread Favorite: Toledo (-3.5)
- Moneyline: Toledo (-168), Liberty (+141)
- Total: 51.5 Points
Toledo Betting Info
- Against the spread, Toledo is 5-8-0 this year.
- Against the spread as 3.5-point or better favorites, Toledo is 5-6.
- There have been six Toledo games (of 13) that went over the total this year.
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Rockets are 8-4 (winning 66.7% of the time).
- The Rockets have a 5-3 record (winning 70% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -168 or shorter.
Liberty Betting Info
- Liberty has five wins in 12 contests against the spread this year.
- Liberty has yet to lose ATS (4-0) as a 3.5-point underdog or more this season.
- This season, six of Liberty's 12 games have gone over the point total.
- This season, the Flames have been the underdog four times and won three of those games.
- The Flames have a record of 1-0 when they're set as an underdog of +141 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Toledo vs. Liberty Comparison
| Rockets | Stats | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| 228.2 | Pass yards | 222 |
| 185.2 | Pass yards against | 201.2 |
| 177.8 | Rush yards | 178.7 |
| 146.7 | Rush yards against | 144.3 |
| -8 | Turnover differential | -3 |
Toledo Leaders
- DeQuan Finn has been a dual threat for Toledo so far this season. He has 2,132 passing yards, completing 59.2% of his passes and collecting 22 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions this season. He's rushed for 609 yards (46.8 ypg) on 113 carries with eight rushing touchdowns.
- Jacquez Stuart has 659 rushing yards on 111 carries with four touchdowns.
- Jerjuan Newton's leads his squad with 788 yards as a receiver. He's racked up that yardage on 48 catches (out of 86 targets) and scored nine touchdowns.
- Devin Maddox has put together a 577-yard season so far with three touchdowns, reeling in 39 passes on 65 targets.
- DeMeer Blankumsee has a total of 429 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 36 passes and scoring three touchdowns.
- Desjuan Johnson has 5.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has seven TFL, 41 tackles, and one interception.
- Dallas Gant is the team's top-tackler this year. He's collected 72 tackles and four TFL.
- Quinyon Mitchell has picked off a team-leading five passes. He also has 25 tackles, two TFL, and six passes defended to his name.
Liberty Leaders
- Johnathan Bennett has compiled 1,534 yards (127.8 yards per game) while completing 58.3% of his passes and tossing 12 touchdown passes with nine interceptions this season. He's also rushed for 181 yards with two touchdowns.
- Dae Dae Hunter is his team's leading rusher with 129 carries for 850 yards, or 70.8 per game. He's found the end zone eight times on the ground, as well.
- Shedro Louis has racked up 492 yards (on 114 attempts) with seven touchdowns.
- Demario Douglas has registered 72 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 977 (81.4 yards per game). He's been targeted 108 times and has six touchdowns.
- Noah Frith has 24 receptions (on 48 targets) for a total of 424 yards (35.3 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- CJ Yarbrough's 15 catches (on 27 targets) have netted him 214 yards (17.8 ypg) and two touchdowns.
- Durrell Johnson has eight sacks to pace the team, and also has 14 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception.
- Liberty's top-tackler, Ahmad Walker, has 42 tackles, eight TFL, four sacks, and one interception this year.
- Robert Rahimi has a team-high five interceptions to go along with 37 tackles, one TFL, and five passes defended.
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Toledo vs. Liberty Over/Under Trends
- Toledo's games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 51.5 points seven times.
- Liberty has played seven games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 51.5 points.
- Toledo's outings this year have an average point total of 54.4, 2.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
- Liberty has a 52.3-point average over/under in their outings this season, 0.8 more points than this game's point total.
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