NFL

Finding (Very) Early Value: A Look at 2024 NFL Futures

San Francisco and Kansas City are favorites to win it all, but which other teams might be worth a bet at this stage?

February 14, 2024

The Swifties are happy, the 49er fans aren’t, but hey — both teams got to party it up and either celebrate or drink their sorrows away in Vegas, so time to move on!

In the meantime, there are plenty of NFL storylines to ponder as teams prepare for the draft, make trades and sign free agents for next year. How will Jim Harbaugh do in LA? Can KC three-peat? Will Aaron Rodgers still be Aaron Rodgers?

While there’s still so much up in the air about next NFL season, it’s an appealing time for forward-looking bettors — rarely will you get better odds for a team to win next year’s title than you will now.

Let’s look at the current futures odds for next year’s Super Bowl winner on Tipico Sportsbook. Currently, Super Bowl odds are the only NFL futures offering, with many more to be added before next season. We’ve identified some favorites, dark horses and intriguing longshots.

The Favorites

San Francisco 49ers (+520)

It can be a bit hard to understand why the 49ers are currently the oddsmakers’ favorites to win the 2025 Super Bowl. They just lost their second Super Bowl in recent years to the Chiefs and were dominated by the Ravens and Bengals during the regular season. And rarely does the Super Bowl loser return to the big game next season, let alone win it.

The Niners will have Brock Purdy back – meaning another year of analysts arguing whether or not he’s only a game manager – as well as Offensive Player of the Year Christian McCaffrey, TE George Kittle, edge rusher Nick Bosa and LB Fred Warner.

But SF has weaknesses they’ll need to bolster – a mediocre offensive line and a secondary prone to giving up explosive plays.

Can Kyle Shanahan get his team to run it back for the fifth time? How many times can this team be turned away at the doorstep and keep rebounding?

Kansas City Chiefs (+670)

At this point, does anyone doubt the resolve of Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Andy Reid and the Chiefs to do whatever the heck they want? Any team whose tight end gives a not-so-friendly shove of his head coach and gets up in his grill has a fire you can’t easily extinguish.

If the Chiefs want to make NFL history with a Super Bowl three-peat, there’s at least a decent possibility they will get it.

KC’s main task will be to keep defensive tackle Chris Jones and cornerback L’Jarius Sneed in the fold with new contracts if they can, and maybe find a big-play wide receiver for Patrick Mahomes, who’s taken the baton from Tom Brady as greatest player on the planet.

Baltimore Ravens (+900)

The Ravens have insane talent all over the field – linebacker Roquan Smith, safety Kyle Hamilton, receiver Zay Flowers and of course NFL MVP and QB Lamar Jackson. They led the league in rushing offense, scoring defense, and sacks.

The main problem is that Jackson has been mostly a dud in the playoffs. His flop against the Chiefs dropped him to 2-4 all-time in the postseason, which is a rather shocking statistic for a two-time MVP. In the regular season, Jackson has a career passer rating of 98, but in the playoffs that number drops to 75.7.

The Ravens also have to figure out a way to bring back DT Justin Madubuike, who had a monster season wrecking offensive lines, and LB Patrick Queen. Losing either — or both — of these two players could see the defense take a step back.

Buffalo Bills (+1000)

Josh Allen will be entering his seventh season at quarterback and is still looking for his first playoff win against Mahomes and the Chiefs – the latest loss the result of another blown fourth-quarter lead and a missed field goal as time expired. Allen and the Bills are now 0-3 vs Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason.

Currently $52 million over the salary cap, the Bills will likely lose key players from a roster that appeared ready to finally topple the Chiefs last season.

Detroit Lions (+1200)

The Lions had the 49ers dead to rights with a 24-7 second half lead in the NFC Championship Game, but some gambles by coach Dan Campbell didn’t quite work out. But the Lions do have great pieces in place to make a serious run at the NFC title again – QB Jared Goff (4,575 yards, 67.3 completion pct, 30 TDs, 12 INTs), RB David Montgomery (1,015 yards), RB Jahmyr Gibbs (945 yards, 5.2 ypc), WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (119 receptions, 1,515 yards) and edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (11.5 sacks), for starters.

Dark Horses

Cincinnati Bengals (+1300)

Joe Burrow and head coach Zac Taylor may be too good of a QB/head coach combo not to eventually break through for a Super Bowl win. Cincy is expected to franchise-tag star wide receiver Tee Higgins, who, with Ja’Marr Chase, forms one of the best 1-2 receiver combos in the NFL.

Burrow missed several games last year, first with calf injuries and then with a torn wrist ligament. While he was on the field, he struggled to a 5-5 record but at one point reeled off four straight victories – in one game going 28/32 in a decimation of the 49ers.

With a healthy Burrow at QB, the Bengals have defeated Mahomes the past two times the teams have squared off and might be the AFC’s best hope of dethroning the mighty Chiefs.

Green Bay Packers (+2000)

The Pack now look to have one of the best young quarterbacks in the game in Jordan Love, who put things together in the second half of the season and led Green Bay to a dominating win over the Cowboys in the Wild Card Round, and then nearly pulled off an upset of the 49ers. The Packers still have Aaron Jones getting the job done in the backfield, and a defense that kept improving as the season wore on. They’re also the youngest team in the NFL.

Houston Texans (+2500)

We caught a glimpse of the future when Houston crushed the Cleveland Browns and their top-ranked defense in a 45-14 beatdown during Super Wild Card Weekend. This is one of the NFL’s best young teams, with Offensive Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud at QB and Defensive Rookie of the Year Will Anderson Jr. at defensive end. They are led by head coach Demeco Ryans going into his second season — Ryans himself is a former DROY with the Texans.

Los Angeles Rams (+3000)

The Rams have some good pieces to make another run, and had it not been for some questionable coaching decisions, they might have beaten the Lions in the Wild Card round this season. Matthew Stafford still has plenty of juice in his arm, and he has great targets in WR Puka Nacua (105 receptions, 1,486 yards as a rookie) and Cooper Kupp (59-737). RB Kyren Williams rushed for 1,144 yards and DT Aaron Donald is ready to wreak havoc again.

Los Angeles Chargers (+3000)

He’s baaack! Jim Harbaugh, resurrector of teams, has brought his talents to Southern California right after finally leading his alma mater Michigan to the College Football Playoff title after nine years at the helm in Ann Arbor.

Harbaugh has done nothing but win wherever he’s been. He led the University of San Diego to two straight conference titles, turned Stanford into a major headache for USC and Pete Carroll and also won a BCS game, led the once-woeful 49ers to a Super Bowl and two NFC Championship Games, and then guided Michigan to the college football throne.

Harbaugh, a former QB for the Wolverines and Indianapolis Colts, has one of the best young QBs in the NFL to work with in Justin Herbert. The 6-6 four-year player only has a 30-32 record but is averaging 278 yards per game and has thrown 114 touchdown passes against just 42 interceptions.

Longshots

Dallas Cowboys (+1700)

Sometime in early September, we’ll read something or see something about how 2024 is finally going to be Dallas’ year — how with all their amazing talent they will finally end their decades-long title drought. And months later, QB Dak Prescott will likely disappoint, with an unfortunate playoff interception or other ill-fated decision.

There’s no doubt the ‘Boys can put up a lot of points and rack up a lot of wins – Dallas has put up three straight 12-5 regular season records. Dak’s numbers in 2023 were amazing: 4,516 yards, 36 TD passes, and only 9 INTs. Perennial DPOY candidate Micah Parsons had 14 sacks.

But the Cowboys flopped against the best teams they played, getting routed by the 49ers and Bills, and the Packers in the playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1700)

Philly replaced their offensive and defensive coordinators and turned over several other assistants after an implosion in which the 2023 Super Bowl runners-up lost five of their last six regular-season games and then got trounced 32-9 by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the playoffs.

Fortunately, the Eagles still have Jalen Hurts at QB, A.J. Brown at WR, and solid offensive and defensive lines, which could have them ready to make a rebound in 2024.

Miami Dolphins (+2000)

The Fins led the league in yards per game (401) and were second in total points (496), but they were 1-6 against playoff teams during the regular season – and they were mostly blowouts. Third-year coach Mike McDonald still has great offensive weaponry in QB Tua Tagovailoa (4,624 yards, 29 TDs), WR Tyreek Hill (1,799 receiving yards, 13 TDs), WR Jaylen Waddle (1,014 yards) and RB Raheem Mostert (1,012 rushing yards, 4.8 ypc).

Miami will have to improve its record against playoff contenders – they’ll face the 49ers, Packers, Rams, Texans and Browns next season, in addition to their typical two games against the Bills.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3000)

Third-year QB Trevor Lawrence again topped 4,000 yards but threw 14 picks last season as the Jags dropped five of their final six games to miss the playoffs in Doug Pedersen’s second year as head coach. T-Law hopes the team will be able to keep free agent WR Calvin Ridley (76 rec./1016 yds/8 TD).

Cleveland Browns (+4000)

After their gritty 11-6 season and playoff appearance, the Brownies are back to facing reality and some hard questions: How will QB Deshaun Watson and RB Nick Chubb do after coming off of serious injuries that derailed their 2023 seasons? Will heroic QB fill-in Joe Flacco return?

Just as important of a question mark is, can the NFL’s No. 1-ranked defense play as well on the road (4.7 yards per run, 86.8 passer rating) as at home (3.9/64.2)? That defense is almost certain to take a step back after such a season — but how big of a step will it be?

Coach of the Year Kevin Stefanski will try to get answers to those questions and more.

Alex Valdes
Alex Valdes is Web Content Manager at Tipico North America. He has written, edited and performed user and site analysis at MoneyTalksNews, NBC Sports, MSN, Bing, MSNBC, as well as newspapers and magazines.
MORE FROM Alex