We are more than halfway through the NFL season, with 10 of 18 weeks in the books. Some of the preseason favorites for various individual awards and team playoff berths remain in contention, while others have fallen off or been replaced by unexpected contenders. It’s a good time to take another look at what NFL futures bets may be worth jumping on before the season ends.
Every week from here on out can have significant implications on odds, so if you spot an enticing value among the individuals or teams below, don’t hesitate to lock in a futures bet on Tipico Sportsbook. One upset, injury, or breakout game can completely rewrite the narrative – just look at where C.J. Stroud was heading into Week 9 compared to now. Here are some of the current odds and best bets on Tipico Sportsbook for NFL futures, including individual awards, team accomplishments, and statistical leaders.
Leaders going into Week 11: Patrick Mahomes (Tipico Sportsbook: +260), Jalen Hurts (+280), Lamar Jackson (+490), Tua Tagovailoa (+520)
Best Bet: Jalen Hurts (+280)
Nobody has truly separated themselves for this award this season, so it could come down to which top QB has the most team success. Hurts’ 8-1 Eagles have the edge over Mahomes’ 7-2 Chiefs, Jackson’s 7-3 Ravens, and Tagovailoa’s 6-3 Dolphins. If the Eagles win Monday in Kansas City, a strong performance in prime time would help Hurts’ case, and MVP voters could feel tempted to reward Hurts’ greater body of work after last year’s second-place finish.
Comeback Player of the Year
Leaders: Damar Hamlin (-250), Tua Tagovailoa (+260), Joshua Dobbs (+450)
Best Bet: Tua Tagovailoa (+260)
This category comes down to whether voters reward narrative or performance. Hamlin’s story is incredible, but he has arguably been a net negative in his limited time on the field for Buffalo. He single-handedly cost the Bills their Week 10 game against the Broncos after being penalized for being the 12th man on the field — allowing Denver to retry its game-winning field-goal attempt. Tagovailoa’s career seemed to be in jeopardy due to last season’s concussion problems, and he has not only stayed healthy this season but also has played like an MVP candidate.
— Tua. T 🇦🇸 (@Tua) September 25, 2023
Hamlin will probably win it for playing at all after his heart stopped on the field last season, but Tua’s odds make him a tempting option in what’s essentially a two-horse race. Dobbs has a much stronger case for Most Improved Player than Comeback Player of the Year.
Coach of the Year
Leaders: Dan Campbell (+140), Demeco Ryans (+275), Mike McDaniel (+520), Kevin O’Connell (+800)
Best Bet: Kevin O’Connell (+800)
Campbell has the shortest odds for this award, but taking a Lions team that finished 7-2 in its last nine games last season to the playoffs in one of the league’s weakest divisions isn’t all that much of an accomplishment. McDaniel’s Dolphins have put up eye-popping stats against bad teams, but they made the playoffs last year and continue to come up short against good opponents. Ryans is a good pick to win this award if Houston makes the playoffs in his first year after winning no more than four games in each of the previous three seasons, but rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud will likely get most of the credit for the team’s turnaround.
That leaves O’Connell, whose Vikings will almost certainly win fewer games than last season’s unsustainably lucky 13-4 squad. On the other hand, if Minnesota makes the playoffs despite quarterback Kirk Cousins tearing his Achilles in Week 8 and star wide receiver Justin Jefferson missing five games and counting due to a hamstring injury, O’Connell will have a strong case.
To Reach the Playoffs
Best Bets: Steelers (-111), Texans (+102), Bills (+185), Chargers (+210), Jets (+500)
If the season ended today, the 6-3 Steelers and 5-4 Texans would both be among the AFC’s seven playoff teams. Pittsburgh’s minus-26 point differential is ugly, but the Steelers are through the most difficult part of their schedule at 6-3. Houston’s 5-2 since an 0-2 start and benefits from playing in the weak AFC South, plus a division title is very much in play for the Texans (+275 odds to win AFC South), who are one game back of the Jaguars. Houston has beaten Jacksonville in 10 of their last 11 meetings, including Week 3 of this season.
Another one of the current playoff spots is occupied by the 6-3 Browns, who will be without starting signal caller Deshaun Watson (shoulder) for the remainder of the season, which could open the door for one or more of the other three teams above.
— New York Jets (@nyjets) November 16, 2023
Jets-Bills is a crucial upcoming Week 11 clash between five-loss AFC East teams. New York’s an intriguing longshot, as the 4-5 Jets (+1400 odds to win AFC East) still control their own destiny in their division — they are two games back of the Dolphins with both games against Miami still to come. Aaron Rodgers is hoping to return from his torn Achilles for the final few weeks of a potential Jets playoff push.
Buffalo has the talent to rebound from a 5-5 start, so the Bills shouldn’t be counted out despite a difficult remaining schedule, making this a nice buy-low opportunity. The Chargers seemingly find a way to wind up on the playoff bubble every year, and this season should be no exception despite a 4-5 start.
To Miss the Playoffs
Best Bets: Buccaneers (-190), Bengals (+107), Dolphins (+670)
Even in the weak NFC South, Tampa Bay just doesn’t look like a playoff team, and the Buccaneers will be 4-6 after they inevitably lose at San Francisco in Week 11. The Bengals seemed to have righted the ship after a 1-3 start, but last week’s home loss to Houston dropped Cincinnati to 5-4, and Cincinnati has a daunting remaining schedule. All but one of the Bengals’ remaining opponents are currently in playoff position, and Cincinnati has road games left against three of the AFC’s current division leaders.
Miami is a longshot to miss the playoffs, but consider that four of Miami’s six victories are against teams with two or fewer wins, and the Dolphins are 0-3 against teams that are currently .500 or better. If Miami loses every remaining game against teams that are at least .500 right now and splits with the 4-5 Jets, the Dolphins would wind up at 9-8.
Most Regular Season Rushing TDs
Leaders: Raheem Mostert (+225), Christian McCaffrey (+275), Jalen Hurts (+900), Gus Edwards (+900)
Best Bet: Christian McCaffrey (+275)
It’s hard not to like McCaffrey’s chances in this highly competitive prop. McCaffrey (nine) currently trails Mostert (11) by two rushing TDs, with Edwards (eight) next and Hurts among the four players with seven. McCaffrey should continue to get plenty of scoring opportunities as the focal point of a 49ers offense that’s averaging 28 points per game.
…Mostert has already set a career high in rushing TDs and will likely cede a large chunk of goal-line touches to rookie rusher De’Von Achane, who could return from a knee injury as soon as Week 11.
Meanwhile, Mostert has already set a career high in rushing TDs and will likely cede a large chunk of goal-line touches to rookie rusher De’Von Achane, who could return from a knee injury as soon as Week 11. Edwards has to compete with fellow Ravens backs Justice Hill and Keaton Mitchell, plus quarterback Lamar Jackson for goal-line touches. Edwards’ buy-low window has slammed shut after seven TDs in the last four games. Hurts should continue to pile up short TDs on brotherly shoves, but this is McCaffrey’s category to lose as long as he stays healthy.
Most Regular Season Interceptions Thrown
Leaders: Josh Allen (+400), Jordan Love (+550), Sam Howell (+550), Mac Jones (+550)
Best Bet: Jordan Love (+550)
Allen leads the league with 11 interceptions through 10 weeks, followed by Jones and Love with 10 apiece, then Howell and Jimmy Garoppolo with nine each. Garoppolo has already been benched and Jones may not be far behind him. Howell has a surprisingly strong 14:4 TD:INT in seven games since an ugly four-interception performance against the Bills in Week 3, so the 2022 fifth-round pick appears to be progressing in his decision-making. Both Howell and Allen have yet to have their byes, and while Allen has always struggled with turnovers, he’ll likely do all he can to cut down on the mistakes with the possibility of missing the playoffs now looming over Buffalo’s season.
GO KRAZEE KAZEE
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) November 13, 2023
Love has already had his bye, so his team has one more game remaining than Allen’s or Howell’s, and unlike Howell, Love has mostly regressed as his first season as a starter has unfolded. After posting a 6:0 TD:INT in his first two starts of 2023, Love has eight touchdown passes and 10 interceptions in seven subsequent starts.
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