NFL

Game Plan: NFL Week 14 Preview and Best Bets

All but two teams are in action in Week 14 of the NFL season. Check out our best bets for this week's games.

December 5, 2023

All but two NFL teams will be in action in Week 14, with the Cardinals and Commanders receiving the final byes of the 2023 season. It’s time to enter the homestretch for the playoffs. With that in mind, below are the top spread, moneyline, or point total bets found on Tipico Sportsbook for each Week 14 NFL game:

Patriots at Steelers (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. EST)

Best Bet: Under 30.5 points (-108)

New England has lost its last three games by scores of 10-6, 10-7 and 6-0, becoming the first team since the 1938 Chicago Cardinals to lose three consecutive games while allowing 10 or fewer points in each. The Steelers will be without starting quarterback Kenny Pickett (ankle), so it will be Mitch Trubisky against a tough Patriots defense. And on the other side, a Pats offense that likely won’t have starting RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle).

Rams at Ravens (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Ravens -7 (-112)

Baltimore is only 4-2 at home, but the wins have been blowouts, as the Ravens have averaged 30.7 points per game in their six home games while allowing just 15.5. Coming out of a bye, Baltimore will have a clear edge in freshness against a Rams team traveling from LA. Prior to a Week 12 win in Arizona, the Rams were outscored 63-23 by Dallas and Green Bay in their previous two road games.

Colts at Bengals (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Colts -1 (-115)

The Colts are 4-0 against the spread as favorites in 2023, and Indianapolis has quietly won four consecutive games overall – with three of those wins coming on the road – to improve to 7-5, while the 6-6 Bengals haven’t outscored an opponent through four quarters since Week 9. Cincinnati’s offense looked impressive in Monday’s 34-31 overtime win in Jacksonville, but the Bengals had struggled on that side of the ball in six-plus previous quarters with Jake Browning under center, and Cincinnati’s defense is surrendering a league-high 388.2 scrimmage yards per game.

Jaguars at Browns (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Over 34 points (-110)

This total was lowered following Trevor Lawrence’s ankle injury Monday, creating an easier threshold to clear for those looking to take the over. Cleveland’s offense looked a bit more explosive in Joe Flacco’s Browns debut last week, scoring 19 points, but more importantly for this bet, the Browns gave up 36 points to the Rams with star pass rusher Myles Garrett playing at less than 100 percent with a shoulder injury. Jacksonville’s offense looked competent with C.J. Beathard under center after Lawrence’s fourth-quarter injury Monday, while the defense gave up 34 points to a Bengals offense led by backup quarterback Jake Browning, so this may not wind up being the defensive battle most people expect.

Buccaneers at Falcons (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Falcons -2.5 (-112)

Unfortunately for the Bucs, their run defense has taken a step back over the past two weeks.

For most of the year, this would have been a favorable matchup for the Buccaneers, whose stout run defense would be a perfect counter to Atlanta’s run-heavy offense. Unfortunately for the Bucs, their run defense has taken a step back over the past two weeks. After holding opposing running backs without a rushing TD through Week 11, Tampa Bay has allowed two rushing scores apiece to Jonathan Taylor and Chuba Hubbard in the last two games, and Hubbard became just the second player to reach 100 rushing yards against the Buccaneers this season. If Atlanta gets Bijan Robinson going, it could be a long afternoon for the visitors.

Texans at Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Under 35.5 points (-110)

Regardless of which QB gets the nod for the Jets, an offense that has averaged 9.7 points in the last six games is unlikely to suddenly heat up considering Tim Boyle and Trevor Siemian proved to be even worse than Zach Wilson. The Jets have held four of their last seven opponents to 16 points or fewer, though, and New York’s stout secondary is well equipped to slow down C.J. Stroud and the prolific Houston passing game, especially with the Texans adjusting to the loss of explosive pass catcher Tank Dell, who fractured his fibula last week.

Panthers at Saints (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Panthers +5.5 points (-108)

The Panthers looked competitive in the first game under interim head coach Chris Tabor, falling 21-18 in Tampa Bay. With Derek Carr being evaluated for a concussion while also battling shoulder and rib injuries, the Saints will have either a banged-up Carr or Jameis Winston under center. Carolina’s secondary has been stout, so Wilson’s proclivity for taking risks could backfire and lead to costly turnovers for the Saints. The Panthers have had the recent edge in this NFC South rivalry, winning three of the five meetings since the start of the 2021 season, and one of those New Orleans wins was by only three points earlier this season.

Lions at Bears (Sunday, 1 p.m.)

Best Bet: Lions -3.5 (-108)

The Lions won by five despite turning the ball over four times when these NFC North rivals faced off in Week 11. If Detroit can maintain better ball security in this road rematch, the gap should be even larger given the talent disparity between the 9-3 Lions and 4-8 Bears.

Vikings at Raiders (Sunday, 4:05 p.m.)

Best Bet: Vikings -2.5 (-110)

…the defense’s success is what has the Vikings poised to cover on the road.

Minnesota’s expected to welcome star wide receiver Justin Jefferson (hamstring) back for the first time since Week 5, which should improve the offense. However, the defense’s success is what has the Vikings poised to cover on the road. Minnesota has the eighth-best scoring defense with just 20.2 points per game allowed, and that stingy mark should improve further after a matchup with a Raiders offense that’s scored more than 18 points only twice all season.

Seahawks at 49ers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m.)

Best Bet: Over 46.5 (-108)

These teams combined for 44 points on Thanksgiving, and both offenses should be sharper with a full week of preparation. San Francisco’s averaging 33.5 points per game since its Week 9 bye, while Seattle’s coming off a high-scoring 41-35 loss in Dallas. With the Seahawks’ running backs banged up, they’ll likely have little choice but to push the ball downfield to their talented pass catchers, which could lead to shorter possessions and thus more scoring opportunities for both teams.

Bills at Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 p.m.) 

Best Bet: Chiefs moneyline (-145)

Patrick Mahomes is 17-3 coming off a loss in his NFL career, and he hasn’t lost consecutive starts since Week 2 and 3 of the 2021 season. The 6-6 Bills have consistently snatched defeat from the jaws of victory this season and are just 1-4 on the road, while the 8-4 Chiefs will look to bounce back at home after some controversial non-calls down the stretch cost them last week’s game in Green Bay.

Broncos at Chargers (Sunday, 4:25 p.m.) 

Best Bet: Broncos moneyline (+120)

The Chargers improved to 5-7 with a win over New England last week, but it’s hard to feel confident in Los Angeles after that performance on the heels of a three-game losing streak. Outside of a Week 3 road win over the 6-6 Vikings, the Chargers haven’t beaten a team that is currently better than two games over .500. The 6-6 Broncos had a five-game winning streak snapped in Houston last week in a game that came down to the wire, and Denver has looked like the far better of these two teams recently.

Eagles at Cowboys (Sunday, 8:20 p.m.)

Best Bet: Eagles moneyline (+150)

Taking the Eagles as underdogs last week didn’t work out against the dominant 49ers, but the Cowboys are a notch below San Francisco, especially in big moments against top teams. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has won two of three meetings between these NFC East rivals, with the lone loss coming by six points with Gardner Minshew under center for the Eagles. Monday’s signing of three-time Pro Bowl linebacker Shaquille Leonard – who chose Philadelphia over Dallas – coupled with the expected return of tight end Dallas Goedert (forearm) should bolster the 10-2 Eagles on both sides of the ball just in time for this pivotal matchup with the 9-3 Cowboys.

Packers at Giants (Monday, 8:15 p.m.)

Best Bet: Giants +6 (-108)

The narrative about Green Bay’s recent improvement has pushed this spread up, but while the Packers have won three in a row with heavy national TV exposure, the Giants quietly posted back-to-back wins themselves prior to a Week 13 bye. New York could get one or both of quarterback Tyrod Taylor (ribs) and tight end Darren Waller (hamstring) back from IR this week. If egregious non-calls in Green Bay’s favor against Kansas City and Buffalo’s favor against New York this season had gone the other way, we could be looking at a pair of 5-7 teams here rather than 6-6 vs. 4-8.

Titans at Dolphins (Monday, 8:15 p.m.)

Best Bet: Dolphins -14 (-110)

Given these trends, this game is unlikely to be close…

Miami is 5-0 at home, and the Dolphins are averaging 38.8 points per game while allowing 17.4 points per game at Hard Rock Stadium. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 0-6 on the road and is being outscored 23.3 to 11.7 on average. Given these trends, this game is unlikely to be close, especially with some concern over the availability of star Titans rusher Derrick Henry, who left the team’s previous game but reportedly avoided a concussion.

Sasha Yodashkin
Sasha Yodashkin has been contributing NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB and Tennis content to RotoWire since 2015, with an emphasis on DFS. He is a huge New York sports fan who has been playing fantasy sports since middle school.
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