Golf

2024 PGA Championship Preview: Can Scheffler Win Two Majors in a Row?

Scottie Scheffler is the favorite after his Masters win. Check out the odds for other contenders and interesting sleepers, too.

May 13, 2024

The 2024 PGA Championship is set to tee off Thursday, May 16 at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky. This will be the second of four PGA Tour majors on the 2024 calendar.

Can world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler add to his run of dominance after winning the year’s first major at The Masters, or will he be topped by a familiar face? The PGA Championship preview below includes odds from Tipico Sportsbook along with some predictions.

The Favorite

Scottie Scheffler (+390 odds to win PGA Championship on Tipico) — Scheffler has held the top spot in the Official World Golf Ranking for 51 weeks dating back to May 22, 2023. He’s the clear favorite here compared to any individual golfer, but obviously, an underdog versus the field.

Scheffler’s showing no signs of slowing down, as the 27-year-old American is coming off his second career major championship at The Masters. But it’s worth noting that both of his major wins thus far have come at Augusta, so Scheffler has yet to conquer a major field at another venue.

Scheffler has three top 10 finishes in his last four PGA Championship appearances, including a second-place showing last year, so he’s been knocking on the door. One word of caution is that he missed the cut in this tournament coming off his Masters win in 2022.

In the Mix

Rory McIlroy (+670) — McIlroy has been in the mix for a decade without a major win to show for his efforts, as he has 20 top-10 finishes at majors without lifting a trophy since winning his fourth career major at the PGA Championship in 2014. McIlroy is No. 2 in the world rankings and will likely be within striking distance come Sunday as usual.

There is some positive history for McIlroy backers to lean on, as his 2014 PGA Championship victory came at Valhalla Golf Club, which is the last time a major tournament was held at this location. He also just won the Wells Fargo Championship for the fourth time this past weekend.

Brooks Koepka (+1400) — Koepka has excelled at the PGA Championship over the years. He’s the defending champion and also has wins in the event in 2018 and 2019. Koepka’s ranking has slipped to 37th — primarily due to defection to LIV — and he has finished tied for 17th, 64th and 45th at the three majors since his 2023 PGA Championship title.

Something about this tournament seems to bring out the best in Koepka, though, and he’s also coming off a win in the most recent LIV tournament at Singapore.

Xander Schauffele (+1400) — If you had to sum up Schauffele’s career in one expression, it would be “close but no cigar.” Schauffele has 12 top-10 finishes, including six top-fives since he began playing majors in 2017, but the 30-year-old is still searching for that elusive first major title. The PGA Championship has been Schauffele’s least successful major, as his best career finish was a tie for 10th in 2020. Nevertheless, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the world No. 4 post another strong finish here, even if finally raising his first major trophy remains an unlikely outcome.

Jon Rahm (+1500) — This has been Rahm’s worst major in recent years. He won the 2021 U.S. Open and 2023 Masters while notching two top-three finishes at the Open Championship over that three-year span, but the fifth-ranked Spaniard has finished better than 48th only three times in seven career tries at the PGA Championship.

His only top-five was a fourth-place finish way back in 2018. Rahm also has yet to win on the LIV tournament trail, though he does have four top-five finishes. His odds are long for a reason, but don’t count him out.

Ludvig Aberg (+1500) — Aberg has been rapidly ascending and is a strong value pick at +1400 odds. It’s only a matter of time until the 24-year-old Swede becomes a household name. Aberg won the European Masters in 2023, his first year as a pro, and he finished second at the Masters in April in his debut in a major championship. He has quickly climbed to sixth in the rankings.

Sleepers

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500) — Fleetwood has quietly found himself flirting with the top of the leaderboard in each of the last three majors, finishing tied for fifth at the 2023 US Open, 10th at the 2023 Open Championship and third at the 2024 Masters. The 33-year-old Englishman also posted a win at the Dubai Invitational on the European Tour in January, so Fleetwood has been in fantastic form lately.

Will Zalatoris (+6000) — Zalatoris came agonizingly close to winning his first major title at the 2022 PGA Championship, losing in a three-hole playoff to Justin Thomas (+3000). That was one of three second-place finishes in majors for Zalatoris spanning the 2021 and 2022 seasons. He then underwent back surgery in April 2023, but the 27-year-old American looked back to his pre-injury self at the 2024 Masters, posting a top-10 finish.

Matthieu Pavon (+20000) — Pavon’s a low-risk, high-reward deep sleeper in his PGA Championship debut. The 31-year-old Frenchman has been playing the best golf of his life over the past year. He earned a spot on the PGA Tour for 2024 by finishing 15th on the European Tour in 2023, fueled by a tournament win in October.

Pavon then won the Farmers Insurance Open in January, becoming the first Frenchman to post a PGA Tour victory since 1907. The lights weren’t too bright for Pavon in his Masters debut last month, as he finished tied for 12th, so he’ll be looking to build on that success in his first PGA Championship appearance.

Tiger Woods (+20000) — All signs point to Woods being past the stage of his career in which he’s competing for major titles, but it’s still worth noting that the 15-time major champion is in the field. Woods’ last PGA Championship win came in 2007, and the 2019 Masters is his only major win since 2008.

Predicted Winner

Scottie Scheffler (+330) — Scheffler had a letdown here after winning his first major at the 2022 Masters, but he’ll likely handle the moment far better coming off his second Masters win in three years. He’s the world No. 1 for a reason, having already posted four PGA Tour wins in 2024. Scheffler looks like the most dominant golfer we have seen since prime Woods, and the Scheff has a chance to cook up an accomplishment that even Tiger was unable to achieve.

If Scheffler wins the 2024 PGA Championship, he will become the first golfer to win both the Masters and PGA Championship in the same year since Jack Nicklaus accomplished that feat for the second time in 1975.

Sasha Yodashkin
Sasha Yodashkin has been contributing NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB and Tennis content to RotoWire since 2015, with an emphasis on DFS. He is a huge New York sports fan who has been playing fantasy sports since middle school.
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