Main draw play at Wimbledon begins July 3, with 128 players apiece competing in the men’s and women’s singles tournaments. The third Grand Slam of the year is also the only one played on grass, which means we could see some new names in contention as the overall winner. Here are the top title contenders at Wimbledon and their odds from Tipico Sportsbook.
Novak Djokovic (-165) is the clear favorite as he tries for his third Grand Slam title of 2023. The gap between him and other top players is largest on grass, as Djokovic has won each of the past four Wimbledon tournaments and seven overall. He’s had some elbow issues recently, but that didn’t prevent him from winning the French Open, and his physical fitness makes beating him in best-of-five sets a nearly insurmountable task.
Carlos Alcaraz (+310) suffered cramping in the third set of what was shaping up to be the match of the year in the French Open semifinals against Djokovic. While Alcaraz is much less proven on grass than other surfaces, he has the power and finesse to thrive, and he’s coming off his first career grass-court title at Queen’s Club. The decreased physicality of the tennis on grass could play into Alcaraz’s favor in a potential rematch against Djokovic.
Daniil Medvedev (+1400) will be allowed to play after Russians were barred from Wimbledon in 2022. The world No. 3 also has the third-best title odds, though Medvedev – who prefers to play on hard courts – has yet to make the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, having gone just 8-4 at the tournament in his career.
Jannik Sinner (+1700) had a two-set lead on Djokovic at Wimbledon last year and has looked more comfortable on grass in the past than Medvedev. The 21-year-old Italian is coming off a disappointing second-round exit at the French Open and strained his adductor in Halle on Friday, so things haven’t been going Sinner’s way lately. He’s been practicing post-injury and will be a dark horse Wimbledon contender, assuming he’s healthy enough to play.
Nick Kyrgios (+2500) was really coming into his own in the second half of last year and capitalized on a favorable draw and a walkover against Rafael Nadal – who will miss this tournament with a different injury – to make the 2022 Wimbledon final. Repeating that feat won’t be easy for the big-serving Australian, if he can play at all, as Kyrgios has been limited to one match in 2023 due to a knee injury.
Alexander Zverev, Taylor Fritz, Holger Rune and Sebastian Korda all have +3000 odds. Zverev’s coming off a semifinal result at the French Open and has made the final four or better at six Grand Slams since 2020 — though none have come at Wimbledon.
Fritz gave Nadal all he could handle in the Wimbledon quarterfinals last year, and the American’s big serve and forehand fit nicely on grass.
Rune’s unproven on grass, but the rapidly ascending 20-year-old Dane is one of the few players that has consistently given Djokovic trouble lately.
Korda just reached the Queen’s Club semis, and the 22-year-old American is finally fully recovered from the wrist injury he picked up in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.
Andy Murray (+4000) will be a sleeper to watch. The two-time Wimbledon champion was a superior grass court player in his prime compared to Djokovic, as he has won all five sets between the two on grass. The 36-year-old Brit is well past his prime, but he will have maximum crowd support in what will be one of his final Wimbledon appearances.
Murray has been sharpening his grass-court skills with back-to-back challenger titles on the surface in preparation for this tournament.
Iga Swiatek (+350) is a slight favorite according to the oddsmakers, but the women’s draw at Wimbledon is wide open. The world No. 1 is coming off her fourth career Grand Slam title at the French Open, but Swiatek’s dominance on clay and hard courts doesn’t carry over to grass, as she’s just 5-3 in her career at Wimbledon and has yet to reach the quarterfinals.
Elena Rybakina (+390) is the defending Wimbledon champion, and she backs up arguably the best serve in the women’s game with relentless offense off the ground. She’s 3-0 against Swiatek head-to-head this year, but she lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the Australian Open final.
Aryna Sabalenka (+430) is a big hitter who has the skillset to thrive on grass, and she reached the semifinals at Wimbledon the last time she played the tournament in 2021. It’s a bit surprising that the Belarusian has longer odds than Swiatek and Rybakina, considering that she leads the WTA race as the top player in 2023 and has been playing with a newfound confidence level that allowed her to claim her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open this year.
Petra Kvitova (+1100) is a two-time Wimbledon champion, and she showed she still has gas in the tank at age 33 with a WTA 1000 title in Miami earlier this year. Her lefty serve is among the biggest grass-court weapons in the women’s game.
Ons Jabeur (+1200) made the final at last year’s Wimbledon, and her frequent use of slices and drop shots is effective on the low-bouncing grass. The world No. 6 battled some injuries earlier in 2023, but Jabeur appears to be fully healthy heading into Wimbledon.
Karolina Muchova (+1400) is coming off a runner-up finish at the French Open, and her frequent ventures to net are better suited for grass than clay. She has reached the quarterfinals in two of her previous three Wimbledon appearances.
Coco Gauff (+1500) burst onto the scene at Wimbledon four years ago with a run to the Round of 16 as a 15-year-old. The 19-year-old American has underachieved relative to the gargantuan expectations placed on her after that result, but she’s been a staple inside the top 10 since making the 2022 French Open final.
Madison Keys (+5000) has the game and experience to make some serious noise as a longshot. The 28-year-old American has been to the semifinals or better at a Grand Slam eight times, though she’s surprisingly done so only once at Wimbledon. Her big serve and powerful ground strokes should work well on grass, and she has been preparing for Wimbledon this week on the grass courts of Eastbourne.
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