Fan Zone

NFL Futures Update: Who Are Bettors’ Top Picks Before Opening Kickoff?

August 18, 2023

Tipico bettors have spoken! The Cincinnati Bengals are going to win it all this season!

OK, so it’s not an official prediction, but that’s the current prevailing betting sentiment from our customers. We’ve taken a look at some of the main futures bets our customers are diving into, and the data shows some very interesting trends.

As of mid-August, the Bengals are the top NFL Championship Winner futures bet, with 27.3 percent of the handle. They are followed by:

  • Eagles: 21.8%
  • Browns: 12.5%
  • Ravens: 6.4%
  • Dolphins: 5.2%

It could be that Tipico customers have faith in quarterback Joe Burrow to recover quickly from his strained calf and lead Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Joe Mixon and talent-laden Cincy to the title that has eluded them the past two seasons. In 2022, the Bengals shocked the NFL and reached the Super Bowl before losing to the Los Angeles Rams. Last year, Cincy lost to the eventual champion Chiefs on a Harrison Butker field goal with three seconds left in the AFC Championship Game.

It also could be that bettors like the value considering the current odds on Cincy — +1000, which is only fifth shortest on the sportsbook currently:

Tipico bettors also apparently expect the Eagles — with QB Jalen Hurts, talented receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith and the NFL’s best pass rush last year — to get back to the Super Bowl and not lose it this time. The Browns are also a juicy pick at +3000 odds, with a full season from Deshaun Watson to go along with RB Nick Chubb and DE Myles Garrett. Considering Tipico’s customer base in Ohio, home team sentiment is also obviously at play.

Oddly (pun intended), despite not being among the top five in champion futures betting, the San Francisco 49ers are the team most likely to face the Bengals in the big game based on what Tipico bettors think thus far. Bengals vs 49ers is the leading bet in our ‘NFL Championship – Finalists’ option, which again might be because it’s getting fairly long odds at +3500. This would be the third time those two franchises have squared off in the title tilt.

Giants Vs Browns Super Bowl?

Sound crazy? Well, not if some Tipico bettors have their way! Those teams are the top betting picks (by handle share) to win the NFC and AFC championships. Those happen to be the top teams in two of Tipico’s active states – New Jersey and Ohio – so the Go Team! factor would be influencing betting patterns here.

But who knows? Last season, Daniel Jones and the Giants were one of the NFL’s biggest surprises, jumping out to a 6-1 record and later stunning the Minnesota Vikings on the road in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. With Jones and RB Saquon Barkley back, Big Blue might surprise once again.

If the Brownies win the competitive AFC North, they may be able to set themselves up for a playoff run.

Here are the top three futures teams by share of handle to win the NFC and AFC:

Ready to try your hand at NFL betting? Let’s go!

NFC

  1. Giants: 32%
  2. 49ers: 23.8%
  3. Eagles: 18%

AFC

  1. Browns: 36.2%
  2. Bengals: 28%
  3. Steelers: 14%

Trevor Vs Joe Vs Josh f

AFC quarterbacks dominate MVP futures betting. The Jaguars’ Trevor Lawrence (19.5 percent of handle share) has a slight lead over the Bengals’ Joe Burrow (19.2%) and a bit wider lead over the Bills’ Josh Allen (18.1%).

It makes sense. The young Lawrence is coming off a Pro Bowl season in which he completed 66 percent of his passes for 4,113 yards, 25 touchdowns, and only eight interceptions. He also led the Jags to a Wild Card victory after trailing the Los Angeles Chargers 27-0 in the first half. Lastly, he’s a great betting option at his current +1700 odds:

For context, last season Mahomes won the Associated Press voting for NFL MVP, followed by Hurts, Allen, Burrow and Justin Jefferson.

DPOY Out Of Detroit?

At first glance, maybe the most surprising trend in Tipico’s NFL futures betting is Detroit Lions defensive end Aidan Hutchinson approaching the lead in most Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) award bets. The former Michigan Wolverine is at 40.1% share of handle, only trailing the Cowboys’ Micah Parsons, who’s at 43.1%.

Last year, Hutchinson had 9.5 sacks and helped lead the Lions to 9-8 record. He’s also getting +2500 odds for a Detroit team that potentially could win its first division title since 1993:

Browns fans are making their presence felt in DPOY betting, with Myles Garrett getting 6.7% share of the handle so far, as well.

Ohio Bettors Influencing OPOY

Running back Nick Chubb, one of the most productive and consistent players ever since he joined the league, is leading the Offensive Player of the Year futures betting at 25.7% of handle. The Browns’ workhorse, going off at +1700 odds currently, ran for 1,525 yards and 12 touchdowns and only one fumble last season. He’s already 81st all-time in rushing yards and could crack the top 60 with another great year.

Second and third in OPOY betting are Patrick Mahomes (12.4%) and Ja’marr Chase (11.8%) – both of which make sense since they’re probably the top playmakers on their respective teams.

Try Some Futures Betting!

We’ve given you a glance at some of our biggest NFL futures options, but there are a ton of other items on our NFL futures menu, including yards records, touchdown records, win totals, and who makes the playoffs, along with individual player performances.

Check them all out here and see which ones pique your curiosity!

Alex Valdes
Alex Valdes is Web Content Manager at Tipico North America. He has written, edited and performed user and site analysis at MoneyTalksNews, NBC Sports, MSN, Bing, MSNBC, as well as newspapers and magazines.
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