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Michigan Wolverines vs. TCU Horned Frogs Preview

Spread, Betting Line and Week 18 Odds
Michigan Wolverines vs. TCU Horned Frogs Preview

NCAAF Predictions breaks down each NCAAF matchup of the season, sharing betting information and statistics that helps you get into the game.

In this season's College Football Playoff National Championship Semifinal in the Fiesta Bowl, the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) are strong favorites (-7.5) over the TCU Horned Frogs (12-1), starting on December 31, 2022 at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN from Glendale, Arizona. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 58.5.

The Horned Frogs are 7.5-point underdogs against the Wolverines (the game has a total of 58.5 points).

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Odds and Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona
  • Stadium: State Farm Stadium
  • Spread Favorite: Michigan (-7.5)
  • Moneyline: Michigan (-317), TCU (+251)
  • Total: 58.5 Points

Michigan Betting Info

  • Michigan has eight wins in 13 games against the spread this year.
  • As 7.5-point favorites or more, Michigan is 6-5 against the spread.
  • Michigan has played 13 games this year, and four of them have hit the over.
  • The Wolverines were listed as the moneyline favorite 11 times this season, and won all of those games.
  • The Wolverines have won all 10 games they have played with moneyline odds of -317 or shorter.

TCU Betting Info

  • TCU is 9-3-1 against the spread this season.
  • TCU is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 7.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • Of 13 TCU games so far this year, seven have gone over the total.
  • The Horned Frogs have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • The Horned Frogs have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +251 odds on them winning this game.

Michigan vs. TCU Comparison

Compare 2022 season stats for Wolverines and Horned Frogs
Wolverines Stats Horned Frogs
210.5 Pass yards 273
191.8 Pass yards against 236.1
243 Rush yards 200
85.2 Rush yards against 149
+8 Turnover differential +9

Michigan Leaders

  • J.J. McCarthy has 2,376 yards passing for Michigan, completing 65.3% of his passes and throwing 20 touchdowns and three interceptions this season. He's also chipped in on the ground with 254 rushing yards (19.5 ypg) on 60 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Blake Corum has 1,463 rushing yards on 247 carries with 18 touchdowns.
  • This season, Donovan Edwards has carried the ball 117 times for 872 yards (67.1 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Ronnie Bell's 754 yards as a receiver lead the team. He's been targeted 91 times and has collected 56 receptions and three touchdowns.
  • Cornelius Johnson has hauled in 30 receptions totaling 469 yards, finding the end zone six times as a receiver so far this campaign.
  • Luke Schoonmaker has been the target of 47 passes and racked up 34 catches for 386 yards, an average of 29.7 yards per contest. He's found the end zone three times through the air this season.
  • Mike Morris has collected seven sacks to pace the team, while also recording nine TFL and 20 tackles.
  • Junior Colson is the team's tackle leader this year. He's racked up 89 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.
  • Rod Moore has picked off a team-high three passes. He also has 50 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and three passes defended to his name.

TCU Leaders

  • Max Duggan leads TCU with 3,321 yards on 239-of-368 passing with 30 touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 404 rushing yards (31.1 ypg) on 112 carries while scoring six touchdowns on the ground.
  • The team's top rusher, Kendre Miller, has carried the ball 216 times for 1,342 yards (103.2 per game) with 17 touchdowns.
  • Emari Demercado has been given 90 carries and totaled 472 yards with five touchdowns.
  • Quentin Johnston's 903 receiving yards (69.5 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 53 catches on 87 targets with five touchdowns.
  • Taye Barber has 34 receptions (on 50 targets) for a total of 593 yards (45.6 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
  • Derius Davis has racked up 418 reciving yards (32.2 ypg) and five touchdowns this season.
  • Dee Winters has 7.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 10 TFL and 65 tackles.
  • Jamoi Hodge, TCU's leading tackler, has 77 tackles, nine TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Bud Clark has a team-high four interceptions to go along with 32 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended.

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Michigan vs. TCU Over/Under Trends

  • In six of 13 games this season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to score more than 58.5 points.
  • TCU has combined with its opponent to score more than 58.5 points in nine of 13 games this season.
  • Michigan's games this season have had an average of 53.9 points, 4.6 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
  • TCU's outings this season have a 63.7-point average over/under, 5.2 more points than this game's total.

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